Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 506.723172 538.555258 571.611806 608.560138 648.774520 691.292990 739.745185
2025-12-28 463.037266 506.553655 553.532047 608.218286 670.380217 739.138720 821.355908
2026-01-04 434.010600 484.564532 540.666193 607.920002 686.852463 777.171761 889.231996
2026-01-11 413.748369 469.665679 533.138065 611.108653 705.119651 815.859347 957.743977
2026-01-18 395.473898 455.227070 524.363036 611.083725 718.114590 847.441056 1017.952507
2026-01-25 382.596180 445.996225 520.638060 616.078390 736.451085 885.417259 1087.251028
2026-02-01 371.779592 438.376257 518.033244 621.698648 755.102477 923.942697 1158.714584
2026-02-08 362.674259 432.183059 516.553129 628.177927 774.577987 963.875156 1233.767222
2026-02-15 351.976477 423.370535 511.165157 629.045969 786.320542 993.679961 1296.223605
2026-02-22 342.035747 414.980506 505.772455 629.368210 796.946730 1022.019148 1357.763272
2026-03-01 334.069083 408.697482 502.675396 632.332941 810.928126 1055.224847 1427.800907
2026-03-08 325.020784 400.604084 496.789477 631.111814 818.816245 1079.929014 1486.424844
2026-03-15 317.207143 393.838648 492.369049 631.624587 829.029843 1108.307059 1552.227733
2026-03-22 309.581563 387.013161 487.543202 631.244782 837.750449 1134.669433 1616.254207
2026-03-29 302.482096 380.610499 482.988552 630.931549 846.349580 1160.995767 1681.544677
2026-04-05 297.153725 376.376617 481.167160 634.282838 860.261538 1195.740883 1762.341436
2026-04-12 290.952263 370.731178 477.161605 634.256637 869.004804 1222.791822 1831.975996
2026-04-19 286.907328 367.881433 476.882224 639.506652 885.753522 1262.918357 1926.104922
2026-04-26 283.297044 365.490246 477.111556 645.415107 903.624718 1305.548564 2027.361701
2026-05-03 280.161847 363.637042 477.989471 652.227759 923.062360 1351.535283 2137.717388
2026-05-10 275.320246 359.229362 475.047562 653.140555 933.163022 1382.570815 2223.105219
2026-05-17 270.532084 354.751656 471.841490 653.479416 942.260801 1412.234883 2307.904817
2026-05-24 266.796494 351.657592 470.521527 656.597190 955.868483 1450.082662 2410.844098